Two more sleeps
Yes, like a kid at Xmas I’m impatiently waiting for the Bok-AB test on Saturday night, most of my bets are down and now just hurry up to the kickoff please.
It’s not an easy game to predict – much will come down to tactics and decision-making, and probably the bounce of the ball. The AB’s could win by plenty or get stuffed themselves, but more likely something in-between, a narrow grinding win to one side or the other.
As with any sporting contest, all you can do is assess the probability of each team winning, compare it with the odds available and go from there. FWIW, I’d make the All Blacks slight favourites but nowhere near the $1.50-$1.60 range that most bookmakers have. It has been interesting to note the NZTAB shortening the AB price daily – from an opening $1.65 on Monday to $1.50 currently. I assume they are taking an avalanche of money from both small and big punters.
But not mine. I’m on the Saffers for this one; purely for price reasons – I think they are not much less than a 50% chance to win this game, so I have to bet on them. However if you beg to differ and want to back the black machine this weekend; seriously consider the $2.60 for NZ by 12 or under rather than the match odds of $1.50.
No post tomorrow – Ma is coming for a visit and the house needs a bit of a tidy-up; so have a good weekend.
It’s not an easy game to predict – much will come down to tactics and decision-making, and probably the bounce of the ball. The AB’s could win by plenty or get stuffed themselves, but more likely something in-between, a narrow grinding win to one side or the other.
As with any sporting contest, all you can do is assess the probability of each team winning, compare it with the odds available and go from there. FWIW, I’d make the All Blacks slight favourites but nowhere near the $1.50-$1.60 range that most bookmakers have. It has been interesting to note the NZTAB shortening the AB price daily – from an opening $1.65 on Monday to $1.50 currently. I assume they are taking an avalanche of money from both small and big punters.
But not mine. I’m on the Saffers for this one; purely for price reasons – I think they are not much less than a 50% chance to win this game, so I have to bet on them. However if you beg to differ and want to back the black machine this weekend; seriously consider the $2.60 for NZ by 12 or under rather than the match odds of $1.50.
No post tomorrow – Ma is coming for a visit and the house needs a bit of a tidy-up; so have a good weekend.
Labels: fri
posted by Rob Crawford at 11:22 AM
3 Comments:
Wouldn’t a good cautious bet to go with be to block bet both sides to win by unders?
Leg Break
In a word, yes. Another way would be to bet one side to win by 12-, and just save for no loss on the other side by 12-
But you do know what will happen if you do that!!! it will be a draw
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