Super 14 Week 12
Only another a week or so of cricket madness to go, and then life can return to normal. So a quick look at this weekend's matches - there are some interesting ones (Betfair prices in brackets):
Hurricanes (6.6) v Crusaders (1.2): OK the Crusaders will probably win but I've seen worse $6.60 outsiders. Seduced by the price. If you're not that brave, take the Canes with the handicap - a beautiful fine day in NZ today which means we should have a few droplets of dew tonight, or who knows, even fog :-) Yes yes I know betting on the Jekyll and Hyde team is risky but that's the name of the game.
Brumbies (1.32) v Force (4.3): Leaving this alone. Only $4.30 for a team that's leaked 117 points in the last two weeks? No thanks.
Reds (2.28) v Cheetahs (1.83): I think the Reds are gone - last week was their last chance to salvage something from the season. Dropping Croft shows even the coach has lost the plot. On the other side, the Cheetahs have been OK in their losses to the Blues and the Canes so while the price is borderline (I wouldn't take anything below $1.80), I'm putting some Rand on the Saffers.
Chiefs (1.86) v Sharks (2.18): A bloody interesting game - both rugby-wise and betting-wise. And while the wise would probably leave it alone, if the Sharks drift out past $2.20 I'll go swimming with the sea dwellers.
Tahs (1.83) v Highlanders (2.28): Another game that doesn't exactly fall into the predictable category; like the previous one, games that I find hard to call and feel the prices should be roughly even I'll look to back the outsiders at anything above $2.20. So in we go...
Lions (4.1) v Bulls (1.37): No bet - am tempted to back the home team at 4's (they have been good to me this year) but there is one problem - I can't see them winning.
Stormers (3.55) v Blues (1.4): As I said preseason, the Blues perform poorly in the rain, so I'm prepared to forgive last week's performance and with Cape Town's weather forecast looking OK, it's a sit and watch.
Hurricanes (6.6) v Crusaders (1.2): OK the Crusaders will probably win but I've seen worse $6.60 outsiders. Seduced by the price. If you're not that brave, take the Canes with the handicap - a beautiful fine day in NZ today which means we should have a few droplets of dew tonight, or who knows, even fog :-) Yes yes I know betting on the Jekyll and Hyde team is risky but that's the name of the game.
Brumbies (1.32) v Force (4.3): Leaving this alone. Only $4.30 for a team that's leaked 117 points in the last two weeks? No thanks.
Reds (2.28) v Cheetahs (1.83): I think the Reds are gone - last week was their last chance to salvage something from the season. Dropping Croft shows even the coach has lost the plot. On the other side, the Cheetahs have been OK in their losses to the Blues and the Canes so while the price is borderline (I wouldn't take anything below $1.80), I'm putting some Rand on the Saffers.
Chiefs (1.86) v Sharks (2.18): A bloody interesting game - both rugby-wise and betting-wise. And while the wise would probably leave it alone, if the Sharks drift out past $2.20 I'll go swimming with the sea dwellers.
Tahs (1.83) v Highlanders (2.28): Another game that doesn't exactly fall into the predictable category; like the previous one, games that I find hard to call and feel the prices should be roughly even I'll look to back the outsiders at anything above $2.20. So in we go...
Lions (4.1) v Bulls (1.37): No bet - am tempted to back the home team at 4's (they have been good to me this year) but there is one problem - I can't see them winning.
Stormers (3.55) v Blues (1.4): As I said preseason, the Blues perform poorly in the rain, so I'm prepared to forgive last week's performance and with Cape Town's weather forecast looking OK, it's a sit and watch.
Labels: 2007S14
posted by Rob Crawford at 1:30 PM
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