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  • Fraser Mills
  • 27 February 2007

    S14 winners market

    So where's the value at the moment?

    Short answer is there is none. The NZ TAB have the Crusaders and Blues at $3.75 and the Canes at $4. That doesn't look like value to me.

    To win the S14 you have to make the semifinals. The only two teams out of the real contenders to have made positive strides towards that are the Blues and Canes, and both their prices have shortened from preseason (Canes $5 Blues $6). Note: I don't rate the Sharks as a real contender, and will wait until their road trip before subjecting them to scrutiny.

    The first four weeks hasn't exactly provided any clues as to what will happen in May, save the Blues and Canes will probably be in the final 4, and the Reds, Stormers and Chiefs won't be. I still think the Crusaders will miss out, but a win in Durban at the weekend may change that.

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