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Location: New Zealand

Approaching mid-life crisis

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  • 12 January 2007

    VB Series Preview

    Yeah yeah I know its the Commonwealth Bank Series but old habits die hard. Anyway, this will be easy:

    Australia will win it. NZ will make the final and lose 2-0. England will come last.

    It's hard to see how money can be made from these matches - chances are Aussie will not win all their matches but trying to pick the one(s) they might drop is needle in a haystack stuff. Distinctly unappealing from a betting point of view - Oz are 1.24 favs for the first game against England which maybe is a tad short but I ain't going against them. So it's a case of wait-and-see, hoping one (or both) of the other teams prove to be competitive against the Aussies and pinch some pennies on the price movements.

    Logic dictates that the England-NZ matches might be the ones to play around, and it will be interesting to see the opening prices for their first match on Sunday - I'm expecting NZ to be around 1.85 favs (depending on England's performance today). I have a sneaky feeling NZ will save their best for the matches against Oz, so despite their well-documented shortcomings at the ODI game, I'm expecting England to win a game or two against the Blackcaps. NZ will get through to the final courtesy of one win against Australia.

    Hopefully I'm completely barking up the wrong tree and the tri-series unexpectedly turns out to be competitive. But I wouldn't bet on it.

    P.S. NZ Coach "Comical" Bracewell's latest letter home can be found here at Sportsfreak.

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    5 Comments:

    Anonymous Anonymous said...

    Hi Rob,

    cracking little blog you've got going here. Always enjoy it. Whats up with the poker tho, are the fish giving you a hard time?

    12:31 PM  
    Blogger Rob Crawford said...

    Hi there prekladatel.

    The fish are still there - just too busy with the main source of income to play too much.

    Have played a huge total of 3 SNG's this year and gone 1,1,3 so the rust hasn't set in too much yet :-)

    12:41 PM  
    Anonymous Anonymous said...

    VB Series? I still occasionally call it the Benson and Hedges World Series.

    Then again, I romantically call the NRL the Winfield Cup.

    And in my eyes, Ferrari will always be sponsored by Marlboro.

    Advertising - it really works.

    3:42 PM  
    Anonymous Anonymous said...

    I'm enjoying the Rothmans Cup domestic One-Day competition at the moment.


    Leg Break

    4:52 PM  
    Anonymous Anonymous said...

    Hello NZ

    very nice blog!
    good luck!

    please visit my blog too

    rc
    http://tradingtennis.blogspot.com

    7:46 AM  

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