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Approaching mid-life crisis

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  • Michal Glowacki
  • Fraser Mills
  • 26 December 2006

    Gifts

    No, not of the wrapped variety under a tree - betting prices so out of whack with reality that you have to slap yourself around and throw cold water on your face to really believe what you are seeing and aren't in a dream.

    What price would you think Australia - a team that has won 29 of 38 test matches at home this decade including the first 3 of this current series against England - would be for the Ashes test starting today? 1.35? 1.40? 1.45?

    No ladies and gentlemen, try 1.61 - although they are shortening at the moment as the rain radar at Melbourne currently shows diddly squat. I don't need a free set of steak knives to partake in this incredibly generous offer - I'm a-fillin my boots. 1.61 for as dominant a sports team you'll ever see - esp. as they have kicked arse 3 out of 3 so far - yes, Xmas has come twice this year.

    The odds on Australia have been as high as 1.70 on Betfair thanks to concerns about the weather, and while there may be showers in the first day or so, all I can see on the weather maps is a great big high pressure system about to invade Melbourne. There won't be enough time lost in this game to affect a result me thinks, and with the covers being on the pitch for the last couple of days thanks to rain we could be in for a good old-fashioned test match where the seamers hold sway - at least for the first couple of days.

    So on the Baggy Green bandwagon I hop - a small saver on the Poms (they do have reasonable seam bowlers as well), and forget about the draw (at least until - if - the pitch provides evidence I need to be worried about it)

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