Weekend Preview
Two rugby internationals, a league and cricket game to dabble in ... just another normal weekend. Let's start with what's really important (prices on Betfair):
ALL BLACKS ($1.17) v ENGLAND ($8.00) (DRAW $42)
The corresponding game last year saw the ABs start shorter and squeak out a 4-point win. As with last year, the expectation is on the ABs to chalk up a comfortable win and as with last year, I'll be surprised if the ABs do run up the expected cricket score. Even at the prices, I don't advocate plonking any money on England but the handicap on Betfair is 13.5 points (with some bookies you can get 15) and I might have a small punt on England @ $2.10 to keep the margin within 2 converted tries.
WALES ($2.04) v AUSTRALIA ($2.06) (DRAW $28)
To say that I'm p!ssed off at missing the early betting on this match would be an understatement - when the early bookies put Australia out at $1.67 favourites I put up a lay of Oz on Betfair at $1.70 and no takers - then their second-stringers had to go and lose to a Welsh regional side and now look at the prices ...
Wales narrowly won the corresponding match last year and with a better team (especially in the backs) all the money is coming in for the Red Devils - but I feel the prices have reached the mark where it's a no bet. Australia, even with their reshuffled backline, are not hopeless and I still feel it's a match which can go either way, so I'm not betting.
LEAGUE - GREAT BRITAIN ($10) v AUSTRALIA ($1.12) (DRAW $75)
This could get ugly. Sorry, this will get ugly. Australia are odds against at the handicap of 18.5 and $5+ giving up 28.5 points. Both are value bets IMO and where my interest will lie.
CRICKET - AUSTRALIA ($1.44) v WEST INDIES ($3.20)
Personally I'm surprised the Aussies are above $1.40 for the final - both teams have their batsmen in form but I think the Aussie bowling is a class above. BUT (and that is a big BUT), we're back at Mumbai for the final and gawd knows what the pitch is going to do. They've had 2 weeks or so to do something about it and that is a lifetime for pitch preparation. Because of the questionmarks surrounding the pitch, I'm not getting involved pregame, but so long as it's not a low slow turner, I expect the Aussies to win.
ALL BLACKS ($1.17) v ENGLAND ($8.00) (DRAW $42)
The corresponding game last year saw the ABs start shorter and squeak out a 4-point win. As with last year, the expectation is on the ABs to chalk up a comfortable win and as with last year, I'll be surprised if the ABs do run up the expected cricket score. Even at the prices, I don't advocate plonking any money on England but the handicap on Betfair is 13.5 points (with some bookies you can get 15) and I might have a small punt on England @ $2.10 to keep the margin within 2 converted tries.
WALES ($2.04) v AUSTRALIA ($2.06) (DRAW $28)
To say that I'm p!ssed off at missing the early betting on this match would be an understatement - when the early bookies put Australia out at $1.67 favourites I put up a lay of Oz on Betfair at $1.70 and no takers - then their second-stringers had to go and lose to a Welsh regional side and now look at the prices ...
Wales narrowly won the corresponding match last year and with a better team (especially in the backs) all the money is coming in for the Red Devils - but I feel the prices have reached the mark where it's a no bet. Australia, even with their reshuffled backline, are not hopeless and I still feel it's a match which can go either way, so I'm not betting.
LEAGUE - GREAT BRITAIN ($10) v AUSTRALIA ($1.12) (DRAW $75)
This could get ugly. Sorry, this will get ugly. Australia are odds against at the handicap of 18.5 and $5+ giving up 28.5 points. Both are value bets IMO and where my interest will lie.
CRICKET - AUSTRALIA ($1.44) v WEST INDIES ($3.20)
Personally I'm surprised the Aussies are above $1.40 for the final - both teams have their batsmen in form but I think the Aussie bowling is a class above. BUT (and that is a big BUT), we're back at Mumbai for the final and gawd knows what the pitch is going to do. They've had 2 weeks or so to do something about it and that is a lifetime for pitch preparation. Because of the questionmarks surrounding the pitch, I'm not getting involved pregame, but so long as it's not a low slow turner, I expect the Aussies to win.
Labels: previews
posted by Rob Crawford at 2:44 PM
0 Comments:
Post a Comment
<< Home