Weekend Review
OMG - another winning weekend in the Super 14. Ended up laying the Waratahs @ 1.45 pre-game, a little uncomfortable at the price and didn't get any bet matched on the Canes at +7.5 - that had firmed to around evens.
After the regular season, the records show 39 bets made for 14 collects and a ROI (return on investment) of around +7% - disappointing but better than taking a loss - something that I'm experiencing on my bread-and-butter of test cricket (more about that later). The JWOC team donation fund is now up to $1,337.80 from $1,215.30 bet - that career change may just have been avoided.
At the moment I can't get any trading decision right with test cricket - I did back the draw pregame during the current England Sri Lanka test with a view to trading out at some stage. With England winning the toss and batting, and including their spinner, the signs were the pitch was not going to be bowler-friendly and so it proved, with the Poms racking up 550 declared.
While I got rid of some of it as the draw price shortened, I was ready to start laying the sh!t out of the draw and had money to be taken at 2.54 when Sri Lanka were 81-2 - not a penny got touched (lowest price matched on the draw is 2.56) and bang, bang, bang, bang - SL are suddenly 85-6. There are times not to come within 10 feet of me and this was one of them.
So the red ink is about to get some more use - Sri Lanka will do well to survive into the fifth day - and it is grating to see them 183-3 in their second dig. They are a bit like NZ, dodgy openers, solid in the middle and a pop-gun bowling attack; on a batter-friendly pitch I had expected them to put up a bit more resistance. Miracles can happen (and sometimes do in cricket), but I feel this will not be one of them.
After the regular season, the records show 39 bets made for 14 collects and a ROI (return on investment) of around +7% - disappointing but better than taking a loss - something that I'm experiencing on my bread-and-butter of test cricket (more about that later). The JWOC team donation fund is now up to $1,337.80 from $1,215.30 bet - that career change may just have been avoided.
At the moment I can't get any trading decision right with test cricket - I did back the draw pregame during the current England Sri Lanka test with a view to trading out at some stage. With England winning the toss and batting, and including their spinner, the signs were the pitch was not going to be bowler-friendly and so it proved, with the Poms racking up 550 declared.
While I got rid of some of it as the draw price shortened, I was ready to start laying the sh!t out of the draw and had money to be taken at 2.54 when Sri Lanka were 81-2 - not a penny got touched (lowest price matched on the draw is 2.56) and bang, bang, bang, bang - SL are suddenly 85-6. There are times not to come within 10 feet of me and this was one of them.
So the red ink is about to get some more use - Sri Lanka will do well to survive into the fifth day - and it is grating to see them 183-3 in their second dig. They are a bit like NZ, dodgy openers, solid in the middle and a pop-gun bowling attack; on a batter-friendly pitch I had expected them to put up a bit more resistance. Miracles can happen (and sometimes do in cricket), but I feel this will not be one of them.
Labels: post mortems
posted by Rob Crawford at 11:39 AM
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