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  • 05 May 2006

    Super 14 Week 13

    HURRICANES ($1.09) v REDS ($10)

    "And I suppose on our performance last week we really shouldn't be favourites but eight bucks is a bit rich I think. Mate, if I was a gambling man I'd get on it. I would be all over that - if we were allowed to bet." - David Croft, Reds No.7

    Mate, I am a gambling man and I'm not getting on it. You will lose. Next.

    (PS Wellingtonians - get to the Cake Tin and enjoy your last win of the season)

    BULLS ($2.22) v CRUSADERS ($1.90)

    I've long earmarked this game as one the Crusaders would lose but ironically with their flat performances in the last two weeks I think their chances of a win are, if anything, enhanced. Still, I'm surprised to see them slight favourites - in my book this is a 50/50 game and I will have a small sum on the Bulls to win (yes, for once I'm backing a team to win and hope like hell it's not a draw)

    CHIEFS ($4.20) v WARATAHS ($1.33)

    $1.33 on the Tahs almost looks generous. A game to avoid betting-wise.

    BRUMBIES ($1.15) v HIGHLANDERS ($8.20)

    As much as the Brumbies will probably win this game, I don't think the Highlanders deserve to be $8 outsiders. It doesn't cost much to lay a side at $1.15, so in we go. The handicap is +17.5, I might have a bit of that as well.

    CHEETAHS ($1.37) v FORCE ($3.70+)

    As is common, a game where the favourites are in my book a bit short. I'll lay them for a modest amount.

    SHARKS ($1.52) v STORMERS ($3.00)

    Two SAF sides playing each other; as stated before I tend to avoid them as even more than usual, I don't know what the hell I'm talking about.

    CATS ($3.85) v BLUES ($1.39)

    I don't think the Blues deserve to be $1.40 here but it's one I've decided to leave alone. If anything, the Cats at +10.5 at evens is the bet to consider.

    So, bets for the kiddies are as follows (assuming I can get them matched):

    30 on the Bulls to win @ 2.24
    Lay Brumbies @ 1.15 (win 100, lose 15)
    30 on the Highlanders at 17.5 points start @ evens
    Lay Cheetahs @ 1.38 (win 60, lose 22.80)

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