Cricket update

Oops - another wrong public prediction. This time though at least my lack of belief in the Sri Lankan batsmen is helping me get out of the shit rather than costing me money.

And thus we enter another occasion where betting on a cricket test is more about betting on the weather than what will happen on the field. There were some wild price swings late in Day 4 thanks to players hopping on and off the field every time a dark cloud hovered over the ground.

And it will continue. Rain is forecast for the morning, and even if it doesn't arrive, no doubt the light will become an issue again. At the risk of getting it wrong again, I'll be basing betting around the following:

Some rain will happen during the morning. When - I'll try and work out when it starts to appear on the rain radar. Light will be a problem. Given they only got 66 overs in yesterday, as long as Sri Lanka continue to bat (a big if) they won't get that amount in for the final day.

So my best guess is 50 overs of play and SL need to bat 30 of them with 4 wickets left. So it remains tough to call whether it will be an England win or a draw - if there is any justice in the world, SL will escape with a draw with the amount of shocking decisions they have had to put up with in this test.

During the bad light breaks, managed to catch some chunks of the Federer - Nadal final at the ATP Masters in Rome - a high-quality game of tennis that is worth catching the highlights.

Finally, quote of the weekend goes to Jerry Collins when asked about whether rugby players should get rotated / rested: "I get paid to play 16 or 17 weeks in a row. You'll get no gripes out of me. It's the same as any other job."

Good on ya Jerry. Now bash those Tahs up one more time so my pre-season lay of them to win the Super 14 comes good without me having to sweat thru the final. Cheers.