Super 14 Week 12
Without Sky last week I only saw brief glimpses of the games last week and I feel a bit out of touch. Although looking at the P/L sheet for rugby a case could be made that I've been out of touch all season. Here goes with fingers crossed:
HIGHLANDERS ($4.90) v WARATAHS ($1.27)
Hopefully the Tahs will get there before game time. Assuming that is the case, I expect them to win as I can't make a case for a result the other way. No bet; pity the weather is clearing as the Highlanders with 10.5 points would look attractive if there's any rain around.
CATS ($1.73) v FORCE ($2.38)
Two mediocre teams playing each other should have the prices much closer together. The Cat's captain is still on the injured list (along with about 25 Force players) - this game is a lottery; the Force have never been to SAF so who knows how they'll travel - on pure value alone, a lay of the Cats.
HURRICANES ($1.33) v CHIEFS ($4.50)
I've got the Canes wrong all season. So I give up. I want to back the Chiefs at that price but the moment I plonk my hard-earned on them a Canes victory is guaranteed. Of course, if I don't bet, the Chiefs will upset them. I'll sleep on what to do with this one.
BRUMBIES ($1.18) v REDS ($6.20)
Next.
CHEETAHS ($2.04) v BLUES ($2.02)
An interesting match-up. I tend to favour the Blues but evens is a bit skinny. I won't be betting but I will be trying to get some money on the total points market as I'll be surprised if these two teams can't produce more than 43 points.
BULLS ($1.65) v SHARKS ($2.58)
I do think the Bulls will win but I don't think they deserve to be $1.65. If they shorten to below $1.60 I'll lay them - will be a cracker of a game if you like two tonne dump trucks smashing into each other.
STORMERS ($5) v CRUSADERS ($1.25)
We all know the Crusaders took the Force too lightly last week, so what do they do? Rest McCaw, Jack, Somerville and bench Carter. They know the forwards are in for a torrid time next week (against the Bulls) but ffs - benching Carter??? Hope they lose (spoken like a true Aucklander).
So I'm really only interested in:
Laying the Cats
Backing Highlanders with the points start if the weather is shit in Dunedin
Backing over 43.5 total match points in the Cheetahs v Blues game
and maybe laying the Canes.
HIGHLANDERS ($4.90) v WARATAHS ($1.27)
Hopefully the Tahs will get there before game time. Assuming that is the case, I expect them to win as I can't make a case for a result the other way. No bet; pity the weather is clearing as the Highlanders with 10.5 points would look attractive if there's any rain around.
CATS ($1.73) v FORCE ($2.38)
Two mediocre teams playing each other should have the prices much closer together. The Cat's captain is still on the injured list (along with about 25 Force players) - this game is a lottery; the Force have never been to SAF so who knows how they'll travel - on pure value alone, a lay of the Cats.
HURRICANES ($1.33) v CHIEFS ($4.50)
I've got the Canes wrong all season. So I give up. I want to back the Chiefs at that price but the moment I plonk my hard-earned on them a Canes victory is guaranteed. Of course, if I don't bet, the Chiefs will upset them. I'll sleep on what to do with this one.
BRUMBIES ($1.18) v REDS ($6.20)
Next.
CHEETAHS ($2.04) v BLUES ($2.02)
An interesting match-up. I tend to favour the Blues but evens is a bit skinny. I won't be betting but I will be trying to get some money on the total points market as I'll be surprised if these two teams can't produce more than 43 points.
BULLS ($1.65) v SHARKS ($2.58)
I do think the Bulls will win but I don't think they deserve to be $1.65. If they shorten to below $1.60 I'll lay them - will be a cracker of a game if you like two tonne dump trucks smashing into each other.
STORMERS ($5) v CRUSADERS ($1.25)
We all know the Crusaders took the Force too lightly last week, so what do they do? Rest McCaw, Jack, Somerville and bench Carter. They know the forwards are in for a torrid time next week (against the Bulls) but ffs - benching Carter??? Hope they lose (spoken like a true Aucklander).
So I'm really only interested in:
Laying the Cats
Backing Highlanders with the points start if the weather is shit in Dunedin
Backing over 43.5 total match points in the Cheetahs v Blues game
and maybe laying the Canes.
Labels: previews
posted by Rob Crawford at 5:37 PM
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