Super 14 Week 6
With 3 cricket tests underway this weekend, I'm a bit distracted from the rugby - perhaps just as well as the match-ups look decidely unappealing from a betting point of view.
CRUSADERS ($1.05) v CATS ($18)
Yuk. Although the Crusaders were $1.03 last year and squeaked home 41-38, last year the Cats had Andre Pretorious. This year they don't, and even though I'm expecting the Crusaders to be slightly off the boil after the team changes and getting up for 2 games against fellow NZ sides, only the insane would be backing the Cats. Even the handicap line of 24.5 I'm not interested. No bet.
FORCE ($12) v WARATAHS ($1.09)
Whoever programmed this year's Super 14 must have a sick sense of humour, putting these games together on a Friday night. Viweing figures for the NRL will show a marked increase tonight. No bet.
BULLS ($1.52) v HURRICANES ($3.10)
The Canes used their get out of jail free card last week. They won't get another one. No bet.
BLUES ($2.18) v BRUMBIES ($1.82)
Am struggling to get a handle on this game. The Blues coming off a bye and with the season on the line against a team who hasn't lost, although put in their worst performance of the season last week. I'm finding it hard to get off the fence for this one, but if I had to, I'd lean ever so slightly to the Blues, who I don't think have played that badly so far this year. In a 50/50 game, odds of $2.20+ start to look tempting - I'll see what happens in the next 24 hours before deciding whether to bet.
HIGHLANDERS ($1.47) v SHARKS ($3.35)
A bit disappointed the Sharks aren't paying more - had expected them to be around the $4 mark. Even so, I think they're worth a wager - NZ teams returning home from SAF are never a good bet, no matter who they are playing and the Highlanders have lost their playmaker and kicker, although I think his absence is not as crucial as some think. The Sharks are infuriatingly inconsistent (play bad when I have money on them, play good when I don't), but I will go to the well one more time with them.
STORMERS ($1.83) v CHEETAHS ($2.24)
A lottery. I might take the Cheetahs if they drift out to $2.30+ as it's another game I find hard to call.
So this week's bets:
Definitely $40 on the Sharks to beat the Highlanders.
If I can get $2.20 on the Blues and $2.30 on the Cheetahs that's where the other $60 will go ($30 each).
CRUSADERS ($1.05) v CATS ($18)
Yuk. Although the Crusaders were $1.03 last year and squeaked home 41-38, last year the Cats had Andre Pretorious. This year they don't, and even though I'm expecting the Crusaders to be slightly off the boil after the team changes and getting up for 2 games against fellow NZ sides, only the insane would be backing the Cats. Even the handicap line of 24.5 I'm not interested. No bet.
FORCE ($12) v WARATAHS ($1.09)
Whoever programmed this year's Super 14 must have a sick sense of humour, putting these games together on a Friday night. Viweing figures for the NRL will show a marked increase tonight. No bet.
BULLS ($1.52) v HURRICANES ($3.10)
The Canes used their get out of jail free card last week. They won't get another one. No bet.
BLUES ($2.18) v BRUMBIES ($1.82)
Am struggling to get a handle on this game. The Blues coming off a bye and with the season on the line against a team who hasn't lost, although put in their worst performance of the season last week. I'm finding it hard to get off the fence for this one, but if I had to, I'd lean ever so slightly to the Blues, who I don't think have played that badly so far this year. In a 50/50 game, odds of $2.20+ start to look tempting - I'll see what happens in the next 24 hours before deciding whether to bet.
HIGHLANDERS ($1.47) v SHARKS ($3.35)
A bit disappointed the Sharks aren't paying more - had expected them to be around the $4 mark. Even so, I think they're worth a wager - NZ teams returning home from SAF are never a good bet, no matter who they are playing and the Highlanders have lost their playmaker and kicker, although I think his absence is not as crucial as some think. The Sharks are infuriatingly inconsistent (play bad when I have money on them, play good when I don't), but I will go to the well one more time with them.
STORMERS ($1.83) v CHEETAHS ($2.24)
A lottery. I might take the Cheetahs if they drift out to $2.30+ as it's another game I find hard to call.
So this week's bets:
Definitely $40 on the Sharks to beat the Highlanders.
If I can get $2.20 on the Blues and $2.30 on the Cheetahs that's where the other $60 will go ($30 each).
Labels: previews
posted by Rob Crawford at 8:35 AM
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